Modesto Mortgage Lending in 2025

Explore mortgage lending activity in Modesto (MSA/MD Code 33700) using official HMDA public records. Review underwriting outcomes, borrower characteristics, and regional lending benchmarks.

Source: Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council (FFIEC) / Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) • Dataset: 2025 Snapshot National Loan-Level Dataset • Updated: June 2, 2026 • Methodology →
Metropolitan Area 33700
4,819 Loans Originated
• Primary State: California (CA)
• $1.99 Billion Originated Volume
• $415,000 Median Loan
Actionable Applications 6,137 +6.84% vs 2024
Approval Rate 82.91% -1.02 pp vs 2024
Denial Rate 17.09% +1.02 pp vs 2024
Loan Originations 4,819 +4.60% vs 2024
Originated Volume $1.99 Billion +8.23% vs 2024

Credit Decision Outcomes (2025)

Outcomes for 6,137 actionable applications (Actions 1, 2, and 3).

82.91%
17.09%
5,088 approved 1,049 denied
Action 1: Originated
4,819 (78.52%)
Action 2: Approved not accepted
269 (4.38%)
Action 3: Denied
1,049 (17.09%)
Action 4: Withdrawn (not in denominator)
1,398 —
Action 5: Incomplete (not in denominator)
479 —
How to read this: Approval rate uses Actions 1, 2, and 3. Actions 4 and 5 are excluded from the credit decision denominator. Read the full methodology →

How Modesto Compares

Metro vs. State Baseline (2025)

Metric Modesto California
Actionable Apps 6,137 404,468
Approval Rate 82.91% 84.45%
Denial Rate 17.09% 15.55%
Originations 4,819 322,897
Originated Volume $1.99 Billion $227.16 Billion
Median Loan $415,000 $575,000
Compared against California statewide baseline in 2025.

Lending Trends in Modesto

Year-over-year shifts: 2025 vs. 2024

Metric 2024 2025 Change
Consumer Universe 7,389 8,014 +8.46%
Actionable Apps 5,744 6,137 +6.84%
Originations 4,607 4,819 +4.60%
Approval Rate 83.93% 82.91% -1.02 pp
Denial Rate 16.07% 17.09% +1.02 pp
Median Loan $405,000 $415,000 +2.47%
Dollar Volume $1.84 Billion $1.99 Billion +8.23%

Applications by Borrower Income (Modesto)

Approval and denial rates across gross annual income tiers (2025)

Income Bracket Apps Approval % Denial %
$100k–$149,999 2,023 88.04% 11.96%
$150k+ 1,533 89.11% 10.89%
$50k–$99,999 1,897 78.91% 21.09%
<$50k 265 46.79% 53.21%
Income unavailable/entity 419 76.37% 23.63%
Gross annual borrower income relied upon during credit underwriting. Descriptive figures only; does not establish causation.

Geographic Market Context

Regional integration within California (2025)

Official Geographic Designation: Metropolitan Statistical Area / Division 33700, anchored in California (CA).
Metro Share of State Apps 1.52%
Metro Share of State Volume 0.88%
Geographic Notice: OpenFileData reports verified OMB-designated metropolitan boundaries. Detailed county-level vector choropleths are omitted unless authoritative polygon geometries and county-level consumer records are officially available, preventing data fabrication.

Parent State Association

Explore California statewide mortgage activity

Modesto is part of OpenFileData’s statewide coverage of California. View statewide approval benchmarks, metropolitan rankings, and institution profiles across all reporting jurisdictions.

California Statewide Overview Active Profile
Statewide Actionable Applications: 404,468
Explore California State Profile →

Methodology

Learn how HMDA credit outcomes, action codes, and consumer filters are computed.

Read Methodology →

California Profile

Compare all metropolitan areas located in California.

View State Page →

Download Data

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Methodology & Disclosures

Credit Decision Denominator Rule: Approval and denial rates are calculated strictly among actionable applications reaching a formal credit underwriting decision (Actions 1, 2, and 3: loan originated, approved but not accepted, denied). Applications withdrawn by borrower (Action 4) and closed for incompleteness (Action 5) are tracked in the broader Consumer Mortgage Universe for market completeness but excluded from credit decision rates as no underwriting decision occurred.

Official Data Source & Freeze Date: Official Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA) records published by the Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council (FFIEC) and Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB). Primary analysis uses the 2025 Snapshot National Loan-Level Dataset (frozen June 2, 2026); historical baseline uses the 2024 One-Year National Loan-Level Dataset (frozen June 2, 2026).

Public Interest Commitment: OpenFileData does not sell mortgage leads, lender placements, paid rankings, or individualized mortgage recommendations.

For complete technical formulas, SQL implementations, and data definitions, read the full Mortgage Lending Methodology Specification.